R
Reddfoxx1
Guest
Should be a fun Saturday. We had some wild shifts in last weeks picks. Some easy covers (Arizona St, FSU over) and some bad losses (Mizzou & Baylor +6) Bad beat with UCLA left us 5-6-1 in what was a great Saturday night.
40-34-1 on the year
Again. Tread lighter than normal. But we fire away.
Some album reco’s for 2020.
Texas Gentleman - Floor it
Delta Spirit - What is there
King Gizzard and the Lizard Wizard - KG
Sturgill Simpson Cuttin Grass (2 Volumes)
California Honeydrops - Remember When (Vol 3)
on to Week 16. Wait and look for the best number.
Game 1.
Notre Dame +11 over Clemson
Ive been on this side for weeks now. Tend to believe my eyes here.
Clemson just isn’t the same dominant team we have seen the last 4-5 years. Why is that?
They are young. Scary, right?
The biggest difference is in 3 big areas.
1. Line of scrimmage. The O-Line is average. Etienne only averaging 5.0 yards per rush when he’s been at nearly 8 ypc in his first 3 years at Clemson. The DLine is Freshman and Sophomores. Elite, but young.
2. Secondary. It’s good, not great. They just don’t have the size.
3. WR. Rogers and Powell are both fast as hell and can beat most ACC corners, but they really miss Justin Ross and Tee Higgins. No jump ball specialist that they had when they beat Bama.
Kelly will sell out to stop the run like he did in the first meeting. (34 rush yards), making Clem throw on early Downs. Trevors feet does worry me,
ND features 15 different 4th and 5th year starters.
I know Clemson always rolls in this game, but I’m believing in ND and Book makes enough plays.
Clemson 31
ND 26
Game 2
Oklahoma/Iowa State under 59
Iowa State +6
Since Halloween (Last 10 games combined), these 2 teams are giving up only 15 points per game. Cyclone D has really been impressive. Oklahoma has struggled to run the ball, even in recent wins. This game will be tight. Both limit big plays better than anyone in the Big 12. Odd to see a total this low in the B12, but we like it. Also, Cyclones arent getting any respect. Several guys I respect are on the Clones, so I follow Brock one more time.
ISU 27
Oklahoma 23
game 4.
Stanford +7.5 over UCLA
UCLA gave everything in an epic rivalry game last week. Now they lay more than a TD vs The road Warriors ?
Stanford is battle tested winning 3 straight after being evicted from the Bay Area. they should slow down the UCLA run game Enough.
Stanford 27
UCLA 24
game 5.
Utah -10 over Washington State
Utah seem to be finding it after a slow start with a bunch of new starters. Wazzu stinks. They won’t Jake to win it here. WSU offense has been bad. Utah rolls in their last game
Utes 31
Wazzu 10
Game 6.
San Jose St +7 over Boise
We roll with the Spartans for a 3rd straight week. Boise definitely not the same team away from the blue turf. Spartans try to finish undefeated both straight and ATS. Last game at Sam Boyd Stadium in Vegas.
Boise 24
SJS 27
Game 7
Coastal -3 over Louisiana (-120)
The Chants got through its trap game with a win last week at Troy in a brutal spot.
Now they return home to play Napier’s boys again. This will be a big advantage to play in Conway, where the Chants have covered every game. Louisiana has the rest advantage, but Coastal has the superior offense here. Buy the hook.
Chants 34
Louisiana 24
game 8.
Rutgers +7 over Nebraska
What is Nebraska playing for? Night game in Jersey. Weather. Shiano special. The Knights in an ugly one.
Rutgers 17
Nebraska 14
game 9
USC/Oregon over 63.5
Te Pac 12 bet you have to make.
Shootout in what should be a fun game Friday night. Oregon can’t stop anyone and USC gave up 600 yards to UCLA last week. Oregon has a better offense. First one to 40
Trojans 41
Oregon 35
game 10
Tennessee +14 over Texas A&M
Because I’m a sadist.
Games we are looking at (some Covid Related)
Ole Miss -2 over LSU. - Lane frothing at that Defense. LSU super bowl was last week
Mizzou -1 over Mississippi State. MSU Covid stuff is bad.
NW +21 over Ohio State. NW mucks it up better than anyone. Layoff has to hurt Ohio State, right? Waiting for this number to go up
FSU +7 over Wake. Shootout.
SEC Championship
already took Bama -13 last week. Now it’s -17.5. That’s tough to lay
Its Bama or pass.
The over is worth a look. Florida will not stop Alabama, but will likely score on them early. Mullen will have something cooked up, but it won’t last, because the Gators simply can’t move the ball on the ground. Trash not being mobile will make Sabans Job easier.
Lot of jump balls.
‘Saban has never covered 8 in a row in his career. Worth noting. Bama has covered 7 in a row.
Bama 51
Florida 31
40-34-1 on the year
Again. Tread lighter than normal. But we fire away.
Some album reco’s for 2020.
Texas Gentleman - Floor it
Delta Spirit - What is there
King Gizzard and the Lizard Wizard - KG
Sturgill Simpson Cuttin Grass (2 Volumes)
California Honeydrops - Remember When (Vol 3)
on to Week 16. Wait and look for the best number.
Game 1.
Notre Dame +11 over Clemson
Ive been on this side for weeks now. Tend to believe my eyes here.
Clemson just isn’t the same dominant team we have seen the last 4-5 years. Why is that?
They are young. Scary, right?
The biggest difference is in 3 big areas.
1. Line of scrimmage. The O-Line is average. Etienne only averaging 5.0 yards per rush when he’s been at nearly 8 ypc in his first 3 years at Clemson. The DLine is Freshman and Sophomores. Elite, but young.
2. Secondary. It’s good, not great. They just don’t have the size.
3. WR. Rogers and Powell are both fast as hell and can beat most ACC corners, but they really miss Justin Ross and Tee Higgins. No jump ball specialist that they had when they beat Bama.
Kelly will sell out to stop the run like he did in the first meeting. (34 rush yards), making Clem throw on early Downs. Trevors feet does worry me,
ND features 15 different 4th and 5th year starters.
I know Clemson always rolls in this game, but I’m believing in ND and Book makes enough plays.
Clemson 31
ND 26
Game 2
Oklahoma/Iowa State under 59
Iowa State +6
Since Halloween (Last 10 games combined), these 2 teams are giving up only 15 points per game. Cyclone D has really been impressive. Oklahoma has struggled to run the ball, even in recent wins. This game will be tight. Both limit big plays better than anyone in the Big 12. Odd to see a total this low in the B12, but we like it. Also, Cyclones arent getting any respect. Several guys I respect are on the Clones, so I follow Brock one more time.
ISU 27
Oklahoma 23
game 4.
Stanford +7.5 over UCLA
UCLA gave everything in an epic rivalry game last week. Now they lay more than a TD vs The road Warriors ?
Stanford is battle tested winning 3 straight after being evicted from the Bay Area. they should slow down the UCLA run game Enough.
Stanford 27
UCLA 24
game 5.
Utah -10 over Washington State
Utah seem to be finding it after a slow start with a bunch of new starters. Wazzu stinks. They won’t Jake to win it here. WSU offense has been bad. Utah rolls in their last game
Utes 31
Wazzu 10
Game 6.
San Jose St +7 over Boise
We roll with the Spartans for a 3rd straight week. Boise definitely not the same team away from the blue turf. Spartans try to finish undefeated both straight and ATS. Last game at Sam Boyd Stadium in Vegas.
Boise 24
SJS 27
Game 7
Coastal -3 over Louisiana (-120)
The Chants got through its trap game with a win last week at Troy in a brutal spot.
Now they return home to play Napier’s boys again. This will be a big advantage to play in Conway, where the Chants have covered every game. Louisiana has the rest advantage, but Coastal has the superior offense here. Buy the hook.
Chants 34
Louisiana 24
game 8.
Rutgers +7 over Nebraska
What is Nebraska playing for? Night game in Jersey. Weather. Shiano special. The Knights in an ugly one.
Rutgers 17
Nebraska 14
game 9
USC/Oregon over 63.5
Te Pac 12 bet you have to make.
Shootout in what should be a fun game Friday night. Oregon can’t stop anyone and USC gave up 600 yards to UCLA last week. Oregon has a better offense. First one to 40
Trojans 41
Oregon 35
game 10
Tennessee +14 over Texas A&M
Because I’m a sadist.
Games we are looking at (some Covid Related)
Ole Miss -2 over LSU. - Lane frothing at that Defense. LSU super bowl was last week
Mizzou -1 over Mississippi State. MSU Covid stuff is bad.
NW +21 over Ohio State. NW mucks it up better than anyone. Layoff has to hurt Ohio State, right? Waiting for this number to go up
FSU +7 over Wake. Shootout.
SEC Championship
already took Bama -13 last week. Now it’s -17.5. That’s tough to lay
Its Bama or pass.
The over is worth a look. Florida will not stop Alabama, but will likely score on them early. Mullen will have something cooked up, but it won’t last, because the Gators simply can’t move the ball on the ground. Trash not being mobile will make Sabans Job easier.
Lot of jump balls.
‘Saban has never covered 8 in a row in his career. Worth noting. Bama has covered 7 in a row.
Bama 51
Florida 31
Last edited by a moderator:
