I’m a Clemson guy. Bored on a Sunday morning now that football is dead for a while.
I hope my post doesn’t end in a ban. I’m not here to stir up trouble.
The guy arguing that rankings matter is 100% right. That evidence is indisputable.
What is lost in the nuance of that argument is how those players that are recruited actually matriculate.
Josh Belk *inflated* Clemson’s class ranking for 2018. When you look back +3 years from now Clemson’s “true” ranking won’t match the final 2018 ranking because a War Daddy never actually contributed. Likewise Carolina’s 2018 ranking doesn’t properly reflect Belk’s inclusion as a “true” member of the class.
The point was made earlier in this thread that OU’s ranking doesn’t include anywhere Kyler Murray- the Heisman winner. So ranking alone, as a point in time exercise, is flawed.
An obvious huge contributor to Monday’s result was the # of highly-recruited players from the ‘14 and ‘15 classes that stayed on campus for another year that they didn’t have to. Wilkins, Ferrell and Bryant - obviously. But Mitch Hyatt too. And others. Alabama didn’t have their ‘14 and ‘15 4* and 5* players hang around. That makes a HUGE difference. (And Christian Miller not playing likewise was a huge advantage for Clemson, similar to Mac Alexander not playing in 2015 really hurting Clemson.)
So, you’ve got to recruit in the Top 10 but you’ve also got to get those guys to materialize as players you expected them to be on the roster 3 - 4 years later.
You’d be better off to set your expectations by re-evaluating what your “true” recruiting ranking for a given year would have been considering player attrition.