Originally posted by ipull4usc:
Originally posted by SpartanSpur:
Originally posted by ipull4usc:
Originally posted by sclawman77:
^
What were your expectations for this season? A .500 or above record still looks feasible.
This post was edited on 1/21 11:51 AM by sclawman77
My expectations for the season? Around .500 overall, and I think we'll likely finish about 14-16. That would put us at 5-13 in the SEC for the second year in a row. Even though these were my expectations, I was not happy with these expectations. I did not expect to see progress this season. I was blasted by many for posting these expectations and called "negative."
Yet, we have folks now suggesting that achieving my measly expectations would be a big sign of progress.
I didn't expect to see much progress... and I haven't.
Last year at this time, we already had 7 or 8 bad losses, for crying out loud we lost to Upstate. So for this year we have 2 bad losses, to Ole Miss and Kent St. I am seeing progress on the floor. And I do see us finishing the year with a .500 SEC record. Do you not think that recruiting has been better under Martin than Horn.
7 or 8 bad losses at this time last year? That's patently false. We had one bad loss at this time last year: USC Upstate. Our other worst loss was to a decent Boise State team. We also lost to eventual NIT Final 4 team Clemson, which was certainly not a bad loss. Another loss was to an NCAA Tourney team in Manhattan (which nearly knocked off Louisville). Your 7 or 8 bad losses statement couldn't be further from the truth. USC Upstate was the only "bad" loss.
In our first 5 conference games last year we lost to eventual #1 overall seed Florida, NIT team LSU, NIT team UGA, CBI team Texas A&M, and an average Ole Miss team. Those 5 games are much tougher than the 5 game stretch we've started this conference season on.
This year, our worst losses are: an atrocious loss to a terrible Charlotte team, a loss to a below average Akron team, and losses to mediocre Auburn and Ole Miss teams. Charlotte is certainly a "bad loss." I'd say we have the same number of "bad" losses this year as we did last year.
So no, I don't see any improvement in the losses, as you evidently do.
As for your statement that you see us finishing with a .500 SEC record. We're currently 1-4 and dead last in the SEC. Frank Martin has lost 95% of his road games at South Carolina, and 7 of our remaining games are on the road (@LSU, @Arkansas, @Vanderbilt, @Kentucky, @Georgia, @Alabama, @Tennessee). I'd wager that anyone without a rooting interest would consider every one of those teams (with Vandy as the possible exception) currently better than South Carolina, and I'm confident we'll be underdogs in every one of those road games.
As for the home games, we have Kentucky, Georgia, Missouri, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, and Arkansas. We'll likely be favored vs. Mizzou, Texas A&M, and Miss State. Georgia game is a potential pick em or USC slight underdog. Arkansas and Kentucky we will certainly be underdogs.
That means in our remaining SEC games, we'll likely be favored to win 3 (Mizzou, Texas A&M, and Miss State), possible pick ems in 2 others (UGA and @Vandy), and underdogs in all the others. While your optimism that we'll improve from 1-4 to 9-9 in the SEC is admirable, it is not realistic.