Setting the bar at Justin Fields or.. Baker Mayfield.. Joe Burrow... Is unreasonable. That is like saying a recruit was only a success if they go first in the NFL draft like Clowney did... Those guys above are good examples to counter the idiots who think players only transfer when they “aren’t any good”, and like recruiting some in the portal probably are not very good- but the vast majority of the kids hitting the portal are solid (comparable to 3-4* level recruits) who just want a change- be it to get away from a new coach they hate, to get away from personal stuff like say a bad breakup, to follow a coach they have a relationship with, or simply to get more exposure. Hard to say a guy who was on a team for one or two years and redshirted/ burried behind other star players is not “good enough” to have seen the field eventually. If they transfer there is no way of knowing that.
The portal is slam full of guys who are better than players we have on our roster now and we need to use it to try to get talent upgrades at multiple positions immediately. Maybe we get a guy who IS the next Justin Fields or maybe we “just” get our next Javon Kinlaw or Duce Staley? Maybe we get a Collin Hill or two as well- like recruiting it is all conjecture until you see them do it. What we DO KNOW about transfers is they are coming in with at least a year of experience at the college level- some have played some have “just” been under a college program practice and S&C development schedule. Either way, they have a leg up on all incoming HS players from an experience and development standpoint.