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Probably will be, but UK, with all their wonderful NBA talent, plays sloppy. They've had one major blowout vs Mizzou and a 20pt win over Bama. They've had 2 OT games, one a double, and only beat Vandy by 8 and Vandy is so-so this year.Originally posted by CaliCock:
when does the spread come out? I imagine it's got to be something in the 20 point range?
I like that line if I can find it to play. My models predict we lose 69-61 or thereabouts. At 11 it might be worth playing. If it goes above 12 I will take it.Originally posted by CaliCock:
if anyone's interested, the line opened today at UK -11. If we beat that, I would call it a "good showing"
Very true Jack - however the Kentucky team that will be in the CLA tomorrow is like no other Kentucky team in the history of Kentucky hoops.Originally posted by Jack_Burton:
The last six games we have played Kentucky at Colonial Life Arena it is 3-3.
We beat them in 2010 when they were #1 in the nation, featuring John Wall and DeMarcus Cousins.
We beat them last season, and they ended up going to the national championship game.
Will they be favored? Of course. But if you think all hope is lost and that there is just no chance on the planet that we can win against them at CLA, you haven't paid attention to this series.
What do you see that makes -11 too low? Based on real data, -11 seems almost too high. It doesn't mean that the game will play according to stats, but I don't see anything in the data that says this number is too low. In fact, my numbers say 8.5 - 10 is the most likely spread range. But again - anything can happen.Originally posted by Carolina Cat:
Very true Jack - however the Kentucky team that will be in the CLA tomorrow is like no other Kentucky team in the history of Kentucky hoops.
Vegas does not miss too often but 11 just seems too low.
Will be an interesting afternoon for sure.
One major blowout?Originally posted by prizerooster:
Probably will be, but UK, with all their wonderful NBA talent, plays sloppy. They've had one major blowout vs Mizzou and a 20pt win over Bama. They've had 2 OT games, one a double, and only beat Vandy by 8 and Vandy is so-so this year.Originally posted by CaliCock:
when does the spread come out? I imagine it's got to be something in the 20 point range?
If we get blown out by 40-50 then we are Mizzou or worse.
Sir, please step away from the crack pipe!Originally posted by rooster59:
Win by 30+
Yeah, well we are a loser program right now, and we are playing the #1 team in a country. So, that is how it is. Kentucky is way better than we. Get over it. The only way we win this game is if Kentucky cr*ps the bed. It's happened in past years and is why we were able to beat then and it is the same this situation this year and it applies to pretty much every team they play.Originally posted by AnCRooster:
As far as I'm concerned a good showing is a losers mentality. If you're going to play a really good game but lose anyway just because you're all amped up because it Kentucky, how about play like that in the winnable games?
I don't care what the score is, there is no embarrassment to losing the this Kentucky team. They are that good. The only thing which would be embarrassing is they gave poor effort, but their effort was good. So cut the crap, because that is what you are posting, crap.Originally posted by AnCRooster:
I don't have anything to be over and your post doesn't have a damn thing to do with what I posted. People are asking what a good showing would be. The only good showing in this instance would have been a win if you aren't going to go play worth a crap against lesser teams. Might as well be asking what would be considered not getting embarrassed.
I could blindfold myself and shoot better. I could be in a wheelchair and do better. Do we have any MEN on this team.! We are out there with you. Somebody step UP!!!!!! This is your moment...always thought about it as a kid. This is it. Now go take it.Originally posted by HI Cock:
nm. wow 19 points in 24+ minutes. 4/29 shooting over that time.
Vegas boys are'nt there for their looks. 8.5-10 was'nt to good either was it? So Kentucky -11 was the bet.Originally posted by Sending an SOS:
What do you see that makes -11 too low? Based on real data, -11 seems almost too high. It doesn't mean that the game will play according to stats, but I don't see anything in the data that says this number is too low. In fact, my numbers say 8.5 - 10 is the most likely spread range. But again - anything can happen.Originally posted by Carolina Cat:
Very true Jack - however the Kentucky team that will be in the CLA tomorrow is like no other Kentucky team in the history of Kentucky hoops.
Vegas does not miss too often but 11 just seems too low.
Will be an interesting afternoon for sure.
good callOriginally posted by Mox94:
Anything under 20. USC often struggles on offense as of late. Kentucky may bebthe best defensive team I have seen in a while. They eat you alive close to the bucket. For this thing to be even close USC has to shoot lights out from the 3 point line, and hope that this is one of those games where Kentucky just isn't mentally into it. It has happened before, but it would almost have to be a perfect scenario for USC to even dream of winning this one. I say Kentucky bt 15