Guys, let me tell you what I'm watching like a "hawk". I'm keeping my eyes on the 30-year US Treasury Bond. When/If it goes over 5%, that is akin to getting the "2 minute" warning towards the end of the 4th quarter. Of course, it can go over 5% and then go under. If it is sustained over 5% for 2 weeks, we are in trouble. Right now, it is at 4.959%
You can call me partisan until the cows come home. I don't care. But, if you take the time to do a search, I believe I posted on this site praising the hire of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary. I believe he is the very best hire Trump has made in either presidential term. I do call them as I see them. And I still like Bessent (and, by the way, him being a South Carolina boy has nothing to do with my praise). If anyone can keep us out of economic trouble, it's Bessent. That guy is smart. I just hope Trump listens to him. I THINK he is listening to him.
But, anyway, watch that 30-year Treasury Bond.