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Best bets week 9. Losing stinks and a word about expectations

R

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First.
What a terrible week.
Took Way too Many games. sorry @Maurice Minnifield
Got really loose and took some ridiculous positions

Got in front of Cincinnati needing style points and in front of Nick Saban after a loss. Dumb.
Also took Florida as a 10 point road favorite at LSU and tried to pick when Clemson would get right After an 0-5 ATS start. Arrogant. Bad. Coupled with following a few great cappers who had bad weeks as well, and you spit out 5-13.
Thanks to @TheWatts and @gamecockCPA11 as I tailed them to wins.
Bad weeks happen. Let’s not make it 2 in a row.

Secondly. A note about our team and expectations with a first year coach
South Carolina is an extremely difficult place to win. Because of 2 main things

1. Geography. We recruit right next to Clemson, Georgia, and Florida
2. Our schedule. It’s always going to be an uphill battle.

Good young coaches want to win. That’s how you build up your resume and that’s how you make the big $$$ in college sports. Just rewinding what we went through after Muschamps failure. It was dire this time last year. Whatever coaching rumors you believed, we went after several big names, some big names at smaller schools, but settled on an unproven guy who wanted to be at USC. The results have been mixed. But we simply can’t judge Beamer and his staff on 2021 results.
I say this as we head into the gauntlet portion of the schedule. This is the time of the year when the sport gets really fun.
It’s not going to be that much fun for us. But I expect the team to play very hard and hopefully we surprise somebody.
We as fans have to be supportive. The players feed off the fans energy. SUPPORT THE PLAYERS. SUPPORT THE COACHES.
The history of our football program has mostly been dysfunction outside of a decade of brilliance from Steve Spurrier. And even that got messy at the end because nobody has any perspective anymore.
We got you coach.

ThIrdly. Thanks to all the trolls. Kisses as always. You know who you are.

5-13 las week
32-34 0n the season
4-3 on USC games

On to Week 9
Its Brocktober, baby

1. Iowa State -6.5 over Oklahoma State.
This one checks so many boxes
Brock Purdy is now 13-1 ATS in the month of October
We have an unranked team favored over a ranked team (#8 in the country)
And Iowa State is balling. Remember the Cyclones were a preseason top 10 team. They look like it now. The Cyclones are quietly 3rd nationally in total defense. And the running game has finally arrived. The Cowboys were fortunate (again) last weekend after a 90 yard pick 6 changed that game vs Texas as the Longhorns were about to go up 24-3.
Think the Gundy magic runs out in Ames Saturday night

Iowa State 27
Oklahoma St. 10

2. Army +3.5 over Wake Forest
Love Dave Clawson and the Deacs but wonder how they are gonna stop Army on Saturday on the road.
Wake is 91st in the country in Rush defense and they haven’t really faced that many plus rushing teams so far.
Wake has not been good as a road favorite, just 1-5 and 3-11 recently
Army is a good team and played a much Harder schedule. Sprinkle

Army 35
Wake 31

3. Temple +3 over South Florida
We gladly take the 1)Better Defense 2)Better Coach 3)slightly better offense here as an underdog. Feel like the number is skewed because of Temples big loss to Cincinnati 2 weeks ago and South Florida’s close loss to Tulsa last week. But when you dig deeper, South Florida had no business being in that game, being outgained by 300 yards. That usually dictates a 24 point loss. They lost by 1.
USF is the worst defense in the country not named Arkansas State.
Temple is improving under Rod Carey and beat Memphis before the Cincy debacle. Sprinkle

Temple 34
So Fla 24

4. UCLA -1.5 over Oregon
I really like this UCLA team. They have an absolute identity. They run the ball at an elite level. Ranking 16th in the country. They also stop the run. Ranking 9th in the country.
How do you beat UCLA? With the pass (Fresno) and by stopping the run (Arizona State)
Oregon does not do either of those well. The Ducks are missing 3 Linebackers to injury and gave up up over 6 ypc to Cal last week. QB Anthony Brown is more of a manager.
Oh yeah. It’s another unranked team favored over a ranked team. Ding
Lastly, you know the Bruins will be up for Chip Kelly’s first home game vs his old team

UCLA 31
Oregon 20

5. Michigan/NW under 51.5
What do we know?
Northwestern will not score much. They are horrible on offense, no matter who is playing QB. Our boy Ryen Hilinski did play better last week vs Rutgers, but the Wildcats should not have much success at all vs the Michigan defense and NW looked much better on defense after a bye. We think they try to limit the possessions in Ann Arbor and Michigan does enough on offense with Sparty & Penn State on deck. Ugly game..

Michigan 31
NW 7

6. Memphis/UCF over 63
Two bottom 30 defenses. Two top 30 offenses.
Malzhan will hit some explosive plays vs Memphis and the Tigers have it rolling on offense
It’s a Friday stand alone, giving the 2 two teams less time to prepare, which always benefits the offensive side. Don’t see a lot of resistance here.

Memphis 45
UCF 42

7. USC +7 over Notre Dame
Always a fun game to watch. USC has been a good road team this year and it makes sense as they transition away from ex Head coach Clay Helton. They blew out a good WSU team by 31 on the road and crushed Colorado. The Trojans are very talented, come off a bye, and will be up for the trip to South Bend. USC is elite in passing the ball and ND has struggled vs the pass, ranking 86th in pass Defense. USC will be the best pass offense they have faced. ND can’t decide which QB to play.
The Irish have been playing with fire, and this game is another close one.

USC 31
ND 28


Adding
8. Colorado State -2.5 over Utah State (tonight)
9. Wisconsin -3 (-120) over Purdue
10. Cincinnati -27.5 over Navy
11. Clemson/Pitt under 48.5

and….
our game
Texas A&M -19.5 over USC
Dont like the spot here at all for USC.
Texas A&M has found something in the run game and is full of confidence
‘Zeb will be under pressure from the start as A&M is getting healthy on D.
It has the potential to be our worst game. Our D-Line must play outstanding to give us a shot.

boo.

Texas A&M 34
USC 7

Might add a couple on Friday
Good luck everyone.
 
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