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Dawn being Dawn at ESPYs

Polymarket is betting on electoral outcomes. Not their favorite candidate.

No real reason to track until the debates are concluded.

If Trump can keep it together and stick to policy, Harris is doomed.

She is as vacant as they come and Blackrock's policy orders are recognizably terrible to anyone with a real education.
 
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The Hill web site has it Harris 49.2% Trump 44.8%
Real Clear Politics has it Harris 48.3% Trump 46.7%
538 web site has it Harris 47.1% Trump 43.7%.

All of them average multiple polls. The Hill averages 143 polls. I don't know how many the other two web sites average.

A couple of things I would keep in mind. The Electoral College is what determines the winner. Gore and H. Clinton both won the popular vote but, not the Electoral College. The other thing is that in both 2016 and 2020, in the final results, Trump's popular vote total was higher than the polls indicated it would be. So, polls are not predictive.

Agree

Except in 2022, Democrats also performed better than polls suggested.

The abortion ballot initiative in Arizona will favor Democrats. Also, several polls there suggested the Democrat Senate candidate is doing really well over Kari Lake. Apparently, she's too crazy even for them.

Per Fox News polling: 73 percent of Arizona voters say they back the proposed state amendment protecting abortion rights, including 95 percent of Democrats and 76 percent of independents. A slight majority of Conservatives also support it. The only group that polls under 50% is white evangelicals and they are at 49%.

Fox reports "Similar trends are seen in Nevada" (except in Nevada, white evangelical support for protecting abortion rights is over 50%)
 
The Hill web site has it Harris 49.2% Trump 44.8%
Real Clear Politics has it Harris 48.3% Trump 46.7%
538 web site has it Harris 47.1% Trump 43.7%.

All of them average multiple polls. The Hill averages 143 polls. I don't know how many the other two web sites average.

A couple of things I would keep in mind. The Electoral College is what determines the winner. Gore and H. Clinton both won the popular vote but, not the Electoral College. The other thing is that in both 2016 and 2020, in the final results, Trump's popular vote total was higher than the polls indicated it would be. So, polls are not predictive.
Neither Gore or Hillary won the popular vote.
 
Gore won the popular vote by a little over 543,000 votes
Hillary won the popular vote by about 4.8 million votes.
So you're incompetent at math and English. Add that to being a lying racist and you're the perfect deploracrat.

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So you're incompetent at math and English. Add that to being a lying racist and you're the perfect deploracrat.

I just understand words. Those that don't vote, can't be considered or counted as part of the vote. (Middle school students learn this)

noun
  1. an act of voting by the electorate of a country or area:
    • the choice expressed through the votes cast by the electorate:
I'll let a conservative university define it for you:

The popular vote is simply the candidate that received the largest total number of votes from the American citizens that cast their vote.
 
Also, several polls there suggested the Democrat Senate candidate is doing really well over Kari Lake. Apparently, she's too crazy even for them.
I was surprised to read how far ahead Gallego is over Lake. Maybe I should not be. When she ran For Governor two years ago. she asked if there were any McCain Republicans in the facility she was speaking at. Then she said , "Alright, get the hell out." Then she said, "Boy, Arizona has delivered some losers". Then, she lost the Governors race. She obviously never learned that politics is about addition, not subtraction.
 
I just understand words. Those that don't vote, can't be considered or counted as part of the vote. (Middle school students learn this)

noun
  1. an act of voting by the electorate of a country or area:
    • the choice expressed through the votes cast by the electorate:
I'll let a conservative university define it for you:

The popular vote is simply the candidate that received the largest total number of votes from the American citizens that cast their vote.
The popular vote is the total votes cast for all candidates, not just the top two vote getters. Since more people wanted someone else to be POTUS than they wanted Gore or HIllary to be POTUS, neither won the popular vote. As you are a person of very limited intelligence, I don't expect you to comprehend. I also don't expect you to care about minor party candidates. That's why your deviant party of hate has been trying to save democracy by forcibly removing them from ballots.
 
I was surprised to read how far ahead Gallego is over Lake. Maybe I should not be. When she ran For Governor two years ago. she asked if there were any McCain Republicans in the facility she was speaking at. Then she said , "Alright, get the hell out." Then she said, "Boy, Arizona has delivered some losers". Then, she lost the Governors race. She obviously never learned that politics is about addition, not subtraction.

Her personality is Attack first. Then she backtracks and basically does a "I was just kidding" version of a speech.

She's alienated so many people, including Republicans there that they just don't want to fool with her.

One police group that endorsed Trump last week also endorsed Lake's opponent at almost the same time.
 
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Kari Lake, like Herschel Walker, was not the best GOP candidate for their particular Senate race. I mean, both would've been superior to their opponent, but reality says they were going to have a difficult time winning.

It also doesn't hurt deploracrats that fleeing Californians have ruined Arizona because they are too moronic to connect the dots between their voting habits and the cesspool their state has become.
 
If, say, Doug Collins had been the GOP candidate in Georgia in 2022, they would have a 50 -50 Senate and be on the way to a majority after the 2024 elections.
 
The popular vote is the total votes cast for all candidates, not just the top two vote getters. Since more people wanted someone else to be POTUS than they wanted Gore or HIllary to be POTUS, neither won the popular vote. As you are a person of very limited intelligence, I don't expect you to comprehend. I also don't expect you to care about minor party candidates. That's why your deviant party of hate has been trying to save democracy by forcibly removing them from ballots.
Sneaky lying won't help you

No one was discussing the POPULAR VOTE in and of itself. I mean no one here was talking about the total vote count of all candidates. No one cares.

The discussion in post #1645 was "won the popular vote" (your definition "total votes cast for all candidates"

The winner of the popular vote is the person who has "the largest total number of votes from the people who cast their vote"

The candidate that WINS the popular vote for all candidates was Al Gore in 2000, and Hillary in 2016.
 
Sneaky lying won't help you

No one was discussing the POPULAR VOTE in and of itself.

The discussion in post #1645 was "won the popular vote"

The winner of the popular vote is the person who has "the largest total number of votes from the people who cast their vote"

The candidate that WINS the popular vote for all candidates was Al Gore in 2000, and Hillary in 2016.
Ah, but you're an imbecile. GamecockStock brought up the popular vote. Again, since the popular vote is made up of ALL the votes cast, if a candidate doesn't surpass 50%, no one wins it. I know that most people don't see it that way, but just because 99 idiots tell me that 2 + 2 = 5, it doesn't mean the one person that tells me 2 + 2 = 4 is wrong.

All this is confirming is that you don't know the definition of basic terms.
 
Kari Lake, like Herschel Walker, was not the best GOP candidate for their particular Senate race. I mean, both would've been superior to their opponent, but reality says they were going to have a difficult time winning.

It also doesn't hurt deploracrats that fleeing Californians have ruined Arizona because they are too moronic to connect the dots between their voting habits and the cesspool their state has become.

Walker is a moron- with a train wreck of a personal life

and Lake is a fool- who attacks everyone and couldnt work with anyone.

Both deserved to lose- and did.
 
Again, since the popular vote is made up of ALL the votes cast, if a candidate doesn't surpass 50%, no one wins it.

The person who wins the popular vote is easy to determine by looking at who received the most votes.

You don't have to receive 50.1% of the total votes cast to win the "popular" vote.

you are a moron. You keep proving it.
 
Walker is a moron- with a train wreck of a personal life

and Lake is a fool- who attacks everyone and couldnt work with anyone.

Both deserved to lose- and did.
Lake hasn't lost this race yet.

Walker is kind of a moron. His terrorist opponent is an even bigger one, but cheap GOP voters and those that cut off their nose to spite their face to make some kind of point saw to it that Warnazi will have at least six years to foul the Senate nest.
 
The person who wins the popular vote is easy to determine by looking at who received the most votes.

You don't have to receive 50.1% of the total votes cast to win the "popular" vote.

you are a moron. You keep proving it.
So you're saying that the votes that Ralph Nader received in 2000 weren't part of the popular vote? Or the votes Gary Johnson received in 2016 weren't part of the popular vote?
 
He mentioned who WON the popular vote.

He wasn't talking about how many total ballots were cast- which would be the vote total.

Lying moron
So he was wrong about the popular vote, too. I mean, he isn't as dumb as you, but he was wrong.

I realize we're at loggerheads over this. You think you're right, and I know I'm right, so in a way we both win.

If only you weren't such a repugnant liar with a poor intellect, there may be hope. But I guess that's where deploracrats come from.
 
And answer my question, stupi(d).

So you're saying that the votes that Ralph Nader received in 2000 weren't part of the popular vote? Or the votes Gary Johnson received in 2016 weren't part of the popular vote?
 
Lake hasn't lost this race yet.

Walker is kind of a moron. His terrorist opponent is an even bigger one, but cheap GOP voters and those that cut off their nose to spite their face to make some kind of point saw to it that Warnazi will have at least six years to foul the Senate nest.
She lost the governor's race.

Walker is a moron. His own son didn't support him.

Herschel Walker’s son Christian Walker blasted his dad’s bid for a Georgia Senate seat by calling him a bad father, a liar and a hypocrite just hours after a news report Monday said the GOP nominee got a woman pregnant and paid for her abortion more than a decade ago.

His opponent was better in every way. They didn't want a damn fool representing them that can barely string a sentence together- and when he does, it's only partially related to English.
 
She lost the governor's race.

Walker is a moron. His own son didn't support him. His opponent was better in every way. They didn't want a damn fool representing them that can barely string a sentence together- and when he does, it's only partially related to English.
Walker was compromised in many ways, as was his opponent. But his opponent has shown how little he cares about individual liberty and constantly supports stances that are detrimental to society. They have two disgusting despots representing them now, because Trump is a threat to democracy or something. It's just too bad decent people have to suffer under the government that racist pigs like you deserve.
 
So you're saying that the votes that Ralph Nader received in 2000 weren't part of the popular vote? Or the votes Gary Johnson received in 2016 weren't part of the popular vote?

Damn, you are stupid.

The total vote count for 2000 - and the WINNER of the popular vote are two different things. It's amazing anyone has to explain this to you.
 
So you're saying that the votes that Ralph Nader received in 2000 weren't part of the popular vote? Or the votes Gary Johnson received in 2016 weren't part of the popular vote?

Damn, you are stupid. King of the straw man.

No one is saying or said anyone's votes don't count in the vote total. No one cares.

They winner of the popular vote is the person who received the most votes cast.

"Popular" vote has no meaning outside of who wins the most votes.

The total votes cast in an election is called the total vote count/total votes cast. They aren't called "the popular vote"
 
Damn you are stupid.

The total vote count for 2000 - and the WINNER of the popular vote are two different things. It's amazing anyone has to explain this to you.
So you're saying Nader's votes and Johnson's votes were not part of the popular vote? All you have to do is answer the question.
 
And calm down, i(d)iot. It's not like you to be so abrasive. Lie, sure. Racist, you bet. But you normally have a more pleasant disposition,
 
Damn, you are stupid. King of the straw man.

No one is saying or said anyone's votes don't count in the vote total. No one cares.

They winner of the popular vote is the person who received the most votes cast.

"Popular" vote has no meaning outside of who wins the most votes.

The total votes cast in an election is called the total vote count/total votes cast. They aren't called "the popular vote"
So I was correct. You don't grasp basic English? That's all you had to say. You're wrong, as usual, and I can live with that.
 
Walker was compromised in many ways, as was his opponent.

But his opponent has shown how little he cares about individual liberty and constantly supports stances that are detrimental to society.

They have two disgusting despots representing them now, because Trump is a threat to democracy or something. It's just too bad decent people have to suffer under the government that racist pigs like you deserve.

1) Walker is an idiot.

2) His opponent is a million times better. Your opinion about him only matters to you.

3) Georgia has two outstanding senators. Jon Ossoff is my favorite of the two. He is calm and reasonable. He's been praised by a number of Republican Senators as willing to work with anyone. He almost totally avoids cable news and just does the work behind the scenes.

I especially like Ossoff's work to legalize, regulate, and tax cannabis.
 
You're not alone in being obtuse. Pepperdine University says the popular vote is, "The popular vote is simply the candidate that received the largest total number of votes from the American citizens that cast their vote."

So they don't even count the second place candidate's votes as part of the popular vote. See, you dullards will never walk alone
 
So you're saying Nader's votes and Johnson's votes were not part of the popular vote? All you have to do is answer the question.

Post #1669 answers the question. I'm not posting it again.

Your stance is ludicrously stupid and makes no sense when discussing who won the popular vote (Gore in 2000, and Clinton in 2016)
 
1) Walker is an idiot.

2) His opponent is a million times better. Your opinion about him only matters to you.

3) Georgia has two outstanding senators. Jon Ossoff is my favorite of the two. He is calm and reasonable. He's been praised by a number of Republican Senators as willing to work with anyone. He almost totally avoids cable news and just does the work behind the scenes.

I especially like Ossoff's work to legalize, regulate, and tax cannabis.
1. Mostly accurate.

2. Absurd. It was still a close race.

3. Georgia voters have failed themselves and the nation. Guile is only a positive character trait to moral vagabonds like yourself.
 
Post #1669 answers the question. I'm not posting it again.

Your stance is ludicrously stupid and makes no sense when discussing who won the popular vote (Gore in 2000, and Clinton in 2016)
I don't blame you for quitting while you're behind. Even if you were smart enough to understand, you would still lie.
 
Don't be like that RollerDave. Come back and entertain us some more with your fiction based life the way you did in the "Who will be at the game Saturday?" thread. You know, the one where you said your son is a junior.....even though you said the same thing AT LEAST three years ago? The thread where you referred to "one of" your daughters, which is interesting, because at times you have had one daughter and other times one son. I know you have mentioned wearing glasses in the past, so hopefully someday you will get a decent pair and finally come to a firm conclusion.

L to the I to the A to the R.
 
Don't be like that RollerDave. Come back and entertain us some more with your fiction based life the way you did in the "Who will be at the game Saturday?" thread. You know, the one where you said your son is a junior.....even though you said the same thing AT LEAST three years ago? The thread where you referred to "one of" your daughters, which is interesting, because at times you have had one daughter and other times one son. I know you have mentioned wearing glasses in the past, so hopefully someday you will get a decent pair and finally come to a firm conclusion.

L to the I to the A to the R.
Bill, Bill Bill.

Some people have more than one child. Now, for you, this is a difficult concept I know.

Come on by the tailgate Saturday and let's see you eat your words in person. That would be fun to see.
 
Bill, Bill Bill.

Some people have more than one child. Now, for you, this is a difficult concept I know.

Come on by the tailgate Saturday and let's see you eat your words in person. That would be fun to see.
Okay. Just to clarify, is that a physical threat or a look at my family to prove you wrong threat? I'm fine with either, but just want to be sure.

Will all of your time travelling, age defying, shape shifting, job hopping family be there, or just the ones you lied about in that thread?

Thankfully, you were able to get out of your summit with Zelensky, Nick Saban, and the ghost of Lyndon Johnson and able to attend the game this weekend.
 
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