My point is you have to start as a head coach somewhere, and the idea that he hasn't been a head coach yet therefore won't be a good head coach now is getting old.
SEC coaches- Mark Richt - offensive coordinator for Fla State from 94-00 before becoming UGA coach- we would all agree he's done a solid job. No college head coaching experience
Jim Mccalwain (sp?) - was the offensive coordinator FOR Nick Saban before taking over Colorado State. So far so good. Two years of head coaching experience at C State- many questioned this hire.
Dan Mullen Miss State- offensive coordinator for Urban Meyer at Florida straight to Miss St.
No prior head coaching experience.
Hugh Freeze- was a high school coach for a decade before being the offensive coordinator at Arkansas state. One year as a college head coach before turning around the Ole Miss program.
Guz Malzahn- again the offensive coordinator for Auburn from 09-11... Before becoming becoming the head coach at the mighty Arkansas State for ONE year just like Hugh Freeze.
Kevin Sumlin- doing a great job at A&M - was offensive coordinator/positional coach at various big 12 and big 10 schools for 18 years. Was the Houston coach from 2008-2011. Sound familiar?
Les Miles and Nick Saban- their coaching accomplishments speak for themself. These two both had major head coaching experience before taking over LSU and Alabama. Les Miles at Oklahoma State from 2001-2004 and Nick Saban at Mich ST, LSU, and the Dolphins. LSU's hiring of Les Miles has worked out but was not such a sure thing at the time. Saban was a home run hire from day one and everyone knew it. Unfortunately as good as much as Spurrier has put us on the map we most likely can't get a sure fire home run type of guy with prior major head coaching experience.
^^ the coaches listed above are examples of good hires in my opinion (Gary Pinkel should be included as well ... Former head coach of Toledo- remind you of anyone?)
Here are the examples of BAD SEC hires in my opinion
Butch Jones- was the head coach at Central Michigan for three years before coming to Cincy to coach for a year. Has shown the ability to recruit and "show emotion" but simply cannot coach when it counts. Terrible on field coach in my opinion.
Good ole Bret at Arkansas- head coach at Wisconsin , a major successful program for seven years. To say it hasn't translated here to big boy SEC football would be an understatement. One win on the road over good ole Butch Jones.. We're both coaches were doing their best to give away the game.
Derek Mason- Vandy- this is a guy many will point to as an example of why we shouldn't hire Kirby Smart. Here's the problem- he was the defensive coordinator at Stanford for only ONE year. His personality seems to mellow and he does not have the passion nor years of experience or recruiting prowless that Kirby has... This was an odd hire from the start but a school like Vandy has to gamble and I don't blame them one bit.
Mark Stoops - I know some of you will argue this as a bad hire- I wouldn't nessecarly call it a bad hire because of the school that hired him and Stoops ability to recruit is proven. I'm not sure Kentucky could have gotten anyone much better at the time so I won't call it a bad hire- that's not fair. However I personally don't like him nor think he can coach a lick. He has zero prior head coaching experience before becoming Kentuckys coach. Despite the major recruiting he has accomplished his overall record is 11-19. I know Kentucky wasn't much of a program before he took over but your record is what it is.
In conclusion I've decided that I would be OK with Fuentes, Kirby and Herman but would probably lean towards Herman and Kirby.
- Out of the NINE "good hires" only two coaches (Les Miles and Nick Saban) had head coaching experience at a big power school prior to becoming SEC coaches.
- Mullen and Richt had ZERO
-Between Mullen, Richt, Gus, Hugh Freeze, Sumlin, Mccalwein there is only 8 years of head coaching experience before being hired. That is 8 years of head coaching experience COMBINED for six of our conferences best coaches , ZERO of which were at power conferences. 3 at Colorado State, 3 at Houston and 2 at the power Arkansas State.
Gary Pinkel was the head coach at Toledo for 5+ years before coming to the SEC- again a non major program.
Bret was a major success at Wiscy as mentioned before and considered a huge get. His success however has not even remotely transitioned to the SEC. So out of the three SEC hires that had major head coaching experience, two have worked out, one has not. Saban was a can't miss hire, and Bama and LSU are a good bit higher than us on the football tradition list. I would not go in this direction unless we can somehow get our hands on a can't miss big name (don't see this happening)
Final analysis- you clearly don't have to hire someone with major head coaching experience to make an awesome hire as the numbers above show. You do NOT have to hire a big name.
You don't HAVE to hire someone with ANY head coaching experience as Mark Richt,
Dan Mullen and to lesser extent Hugh Freeze and Gus have shown (two years combined at arky state) Kirby Smart says hi!
While hiring someone who has head coaching experience at a mid major before being hired by an SEC school doesn't have a 100 pct success rate - seeing how Butch Jones has failed (Herman, Fuentes, the Toledo coach) the probability of it working out seems to be high as Sumlin (3 years at Houston) Mccalwein (3 years at colo state) Pinkel (7 years at Toledo) have all worked out. This bodes well for the Herman and Fuentes fan club.
Hiring a coordinator from a major school isn't the big failure many on this board seem to think it is (Mullen, Richt) and really Hugh and Gus. Derek Mason has not worked out but that's a bit deceiving in my opinion as he was only the defensive coordinator for Stanford for ONE year whereas Richt and Mullen had a combined decade plus of experience. This bodes well for Kirby Smart. You also can't forget that Mason has a near impossible job of attempting to turn around the bottom feeder of the SEC- Kirby wouldn't have to do that here.
Shawn Elliot is not the guy - for every Dabo Swinney there are so so many more failures. Out of the programs that have fired or lost a coach mid season (Penn State 2011, Minnesota 2010, Arizona 2011, Colorado 2010, 2008 Clemson just for more recent examples ->> only the 2008 Clemson team retained their interim coach).
Also Shawn Elliot's rah rah emotion has been a pretty hot topic on this board. Out of the other 13 SEC schools (and this is completely up for debate- not factual like the rest of my post has been ) Mark Richt, Gary Pinkle, Gus, Hugh, Mullen, Derek Mason, are all super miled mannered. Sumlin, Les, and Saban are more intense but a professional intense- not rah rah. 5 out of the 6 miled mannered SEC coaches are good coaches. The three professionally intense coaches are all great coaches. I would consider Butch, Brent and Stoops as the only super loud emotional rah rah coaches. They seemed more concerned with showing emotion and complaining about the officiating then the actual coaching. This is for Ray Tanner and Co to consider when looking at the candidates temperaments.
^^^ I had to post this here to explain my logic behind thinking Kirby could be a good hire more thoroughly. I would be ok with all four guys.