I don't want to bury the lead here. I do not believe that South Carolina will be selected as regional host. I also don't believe they deserve it. They had opportunity after opportunity to lock in a hosting spot and couldn't get it done.
Carolina lost four of their last five of their last six SEC series. They also lost two of three in Hoover. USC is only 5-13 in their last 18 games. Seven SEC teams are likely ahead of the Gamecock in terms of hosting. Florida, Vanderbilt, LSU, and Arkansas are going to be national seed. In addition, Auburn, Kentucky, and Alabama are all likely locks for national seeds. I don't think committee is going to give the SEC 8 host sites.
If the committee goes strictly be computer metrics then the Gamecocks are a host. South Carolina has 18 Quad I wins, tied for 5th most. Their RPI is currently 8th and they've played the 4th most difficult schedule. South Carolina went 8-7 against the likely National Seeds.
I believe that 14 of the 16 host sites are locked in:
1. Wake
2. Florida
3. Vandy
4. Arkansas
5. Clemson
6. Stanford
7. LSU
8. Virginia
9. Miami
10. Ok St
11. Coastal
12. Auburn
13. Alabama
14. Kentucky
Oklahoma State and Alabama were on the bubble. Oklahoma State is in the finals of the Big12 tournament and Alabama had a strong showing in the SEC Tournament.
I believe that the last two spots will come down to Carolina, ECU, Campbell, Southern Miss, Boston College, Maryland, Indiana State, Dallas Baptist and UConn.
Uconn lost twice in the Big East Tournament to Xavier. The Musketeers were a bubble team entering the week, but their wins over UConn will knock the Huskies down to the bottle of the list.
ECU also lost twice this week in the American Tournament with Tulane upsetting the Pirates in the finals. I think that will take care of ECU's as a host.
That leaves the Gamecocks, Campbell, Southern Miss, BC, Maryland, and Indiana State. The resumes are as follows:
Carolina: See above. 15-15 vs Quad 1.
Indiana State: The Sycamores have an RPI of 9. They won the Missouri Valley Tournament. SOS 43. Quad 1 Record 2-9.
Campbell: RPI 15. Won the Big South Tournament. SOS 87. Quad 1 Record: 9-5
Southern Miss: RPI 21. Won the Sun Belt Tournament. SOS 46. Quad 1 Record: 10-5
BC: RPI 18. SOS 31. Quad 1 Record: 13-14
Maryland: RPI 37 (this will probably knock them out). SOS 70. Up 4-0 in the B10 Tournament late. Quad 1 Record: 5-4
Dallas Baptist: RPI 13, SOS 71. Lost to the Gamecock killing Charlotte 49ers 5-2 in the CUSA Finals. Quad 1 Record 2-7. Charlotte is going to steal a bid.
Charlotte beating Baptist likely eliminated them from the hosting discussion.
I believe that the committee is deciding between Carolina, Indiana State, Campbell, BC, and Southern Miss for the final two spots. I don't know how much this will help, but Will McGillis' father is the AD of San Diego University and he is on the selection committee. Coastal AD, he has a fancier title than AD now, is also on the committee. Hogue's profile on Coastal's website says he is a South Carolina Graduate. I have no idea if that will matter.
My guess for the final two spots: BC and Campbell. With the Gamecocks headed to Campbell's regional.