To be clear, I'm not suggesting USC can't hire a good coach. I'm suggesting that it's far more likely to be one of the following rather than someone who's already in a good P5 job:
- Coaches who left the college game but want back in (just like Holtz & Spurrier, or guys like Les Miles at Kansas, Mack Brown at UNC, Chip Kelly at UCLA, Mike Leach at WSU, etc.). USC has landed coaches via that route before and could do so again.
- Current up-and-coming coordinators who seem to have HC potential
- Head coaches who are proven winners at the G5 level
Any of those sources could produce a good hire.
But put yourself in Matt Rhule's shoes. He's already making millions as a HC at a program that has been in the CFP discussion and had a Heisman winner in recent memory. He's located in one of the most talent-rich states in the country. He just asked his family and several assistant coaches to move from Philly to Texas 2 years ago. Would he really walk away from that and make another job change for anything less than an A-list opportunity? Would he really give up the path he has to the CFP from the Big XII to take on South Carolina's SEC schedule, plus Clemson, every year? It's just not a smart career move and it's therefore not likely to happen. After all, consider how many programs tried to hire either Art Briles or Gary Patterson, yet failed. Same goes for Mike Gundy.
Besides, if you're so convinced that Matt Rhule's record will be unimpressive by year-end, then why would you want him anyway?