When you talk about possible future "upsets", that carries the connotation of wins, doesn't it? And if I don't foresee any "upsets" as of now, that is subject to change next week, as you have already admitted. Hence, you can have no ironclad knowledge of my "expectations", can you, when I don't even know myself? And you never did answer my question about Florida, did you?
lol ok, sure. Can’t wait to play the game of finding out your new screen name so you can pretend you didn’t say all the things you said.
Expectations are what you have now. Expectations can change. Expectations can be about wins or about anything. You have said you don't expect an upset. That is your current expectation. Have some third string qb come off the bench and suddenly look like a superstar, that expectation could change.
That's some creative math there. I don't think that's the way it works. If you say you have only a 41% chance of losing all 4, then that means you have a 59% chance of winning one, when you've already said there is an 80% chance of losing each one.
Then surely you can find the post where I predicted in the summer we would beat Tennessee
That is the way probability math works. It isn't creative. It is easier to see with flipping coins. In a fair coin toss you have a 50% chance of heads and 50% chance of tails.
I said 5-7 wins depending on catching a few breaks...but you knew that and lie yet again.
No, it doesn't work that way. Flipping a coin is pure chance - a 50/50 deal. When you are 80% chance likely to lose each game you can't somehow just increase you chances to win any of those to 59%. It still will be 80% chance of losing each game.
The article I read mentioned Tennessee was the only team in the top twelve recruiting that didn’t make the playoffs. So while they have a much more talented roster they haven’t taken advantage of it until Heupel.
Right#8=18. They were higher EVERY year. We have depth issues everywhere except DL. Tennessee has better depth.
An 80% chance of losing any particular game means in four games you have four 20 percent chances to win a game. Look at it this way. If you have a ten game season and an 80% chance against each opponent, if the odds were perfect you will have a 2-8 season. But any specific game you had a 20% chance of winning.
Yes, that is basically what I was saying, but in your original post you were saying that there was a 59% we would win one of the 4 remaining games.
Article cited 20 years. A single year where the difference is 2 spots and you LATCH onto that year?
We have only beaten FCS Eastern Illinois, G5 ECU and Troy, and a conference win over helpless Vandy. Which game was it that you expected a loss, but we won?
I think you are mistaken. Lots of people were disappointed when we hired Beamer. I don't recall anyone wanted to hire Fuentes away from Virginia Tech.
He was available when Muschamp came on board. And I remember many saying Fuentes was the better coach and they ridiculed Tanner for not getting him. Herman was definitely touted as better than Muschamp and he was used to belittle Tanner for sure. I was just making a point that being a negative nancy is a bullet proof position that requires no courage. You can always complain but I am sure many of the people that hate on Tanner said those were better coaches. They weren't and are not.
Let me get this straight. You’re saying that Fuentes and Herman are NOT better HCs than Muschamp???
I mean to say that if they had come here they would have done no better. They may be better but they lasted no longer.
I REALLY hope you would have been wrong about that. Geez. You might be right. I feel sick.
Still, they are Tennessee. More of a draw than we are in just about any circumstances. Sad, but true.
